HOW SIMULATIONS FAIL Patrick Grim, Robert Rosenberger, Brian Anderson, Adam Rosenfeld, and Robb E. Eason Group for Logic & Formal Semantics Department of Philosophy Stony Brook forthcoming in Synthese Links to simulations mentioned in the text (Some may require University or publication access): Meteorlogical Predictions Through Simulation http://www.mmm.ucar.edu/mm5/mm5-home.html Army Corps of Engineers, 17th Street Canal, Rensellaer Polytechnic Geotechnical Centrifuge Research Center http://news.rpiscrews.us/update.do?artcenterkey=1418 Tracing the Course of an Asterioid Back to the Baptistina Asteroid Family: The Orbital and Size Distribution of the Family (Bottke, Vokrouhlicky, & Nesvorny 2007) http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v449/n7158/full/nature06070.html#a1 Robin Canup's Simulations to Demonstrate the Plausibility of the Impact Theory of the Creation of Planetary Moons http://www.space.com/scienceastronomy/pluto_formation_050127.html The Emergence of Cooperation: Conquest by Tit for Tat in the Spatialized Prisoner's Dilemma (Grim 1995; Grim, Mar & St. Denis 1998) http://www.sunysb.edu/philosophy/faculty/pgrim/intro.html#sec3     Simulating Population Fluctuations in the Long House Valley Over 600 Years (Dean, Gumreman, Epstein, Axtell, Swedland, Parker & McCarroll 1999; Axtell, Epstein, Dean, Gumerman, Swedland, Harburger, Chakravarty, Hammon, Parker & Parker 2002; Gumerman, Swedland, Dean & Epstein 2003) The Effects of Various Containment Measures on an Influenza Pandemic in Southeast Asia (Ferguson, Cummings, Fraser, Cajka, Cooley & Burke 2006) http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v437/n7056/full/nature04017.html Schelling's Segregation Model http://web.mit.edu/rajsingh/www/lab/alife/schelling.html The Contact Hypothesis and Prejudice Reduction [Authors' Names Deleted] http://www.philofmind.org/mpr Conway's Game of Life http://www.bitstorm.org/gameoflife/ Epstein's Models of Civil Unrest Action & Grievance (Top) & Peaceful Coexistence (Bottom) http://www.pnas.org/cgi/content/full/99/suppl_3/7243 Simulation of Pheromone-Following Ant Behavior http://www.forgefx.com/casestudies/prenticehall/ph/ants/ants.htm Simulation of Pheromone-Following Ant Behavior http://zool33.uni-graz.at/schmickl/Self-organization/Collective_decisions/Ant_foraging/ant_foraging.html